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Environmental Science
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Global and Planetary Change
Global and Planetary Change
Large-scale environmental changes, including climate change, biogeochemical cycles, land use change, sea level rise, and the impacts of human activities on Earth system processes
10 papers in this specialization
Papers
Limited carbon sequestration potential from global ecosystem restoration
Global ecosystem restoration has limited potential for climate change mitigation, offsetting only a small fraction of anthropogenic emissions, even under optimistic scenarios. Restoration efforts are more impactful when prioritizing biodiversity, local climate adaptation, and the resilience of ecosystem services, rather than solely focusing on carbon sequestration.
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s41561-025-01742-z.pdf
Aug 01, 09:18 AM
Indicators of Global Climate Change 2024: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence
Key climate indicators show accelerated warming trends, with the Earth's energy imbalance increasing and greenhouse gas emissions remaining at historic highs. While the record-breaking temperature in 2024 was influenced by the El Niño event, the overall warming trend is a cause for concern, exceeding the previously estimated rate of human-induced change.
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essd-17-2641-2025.pdf
Jul 22, 01:12 PM
Urban Microclimates in a Warming World: Land Surface Temperature (LST) Trends Across Ten Major Cities on Seven Continents
This study used satellite data to analyze land surface temperature trends in ten major cities across seven continents from 2001 to 2021, finding an overall warming trend, especially at night. Urban heat islands are intensified by industrial zones and airports, but green spaces and water bodies offer significant cooling effects, highlighting the importance of urban greening and climate-responsive urban planning.
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urbansci-09-00115.pdf
Jul 21, 06:59 AM
Green and intelligent: the role of AI in the climate transition
This study estimates that AI applications could reduce global emissions by 3.2-5.4 GtCO2e annually by 2035 across the power, food, and mobility sectors. However, this estimate is based on limited assumptions and does not consider the full range of economic interconnections and potential rebound effects. These reductions would primarily come from transforming complex systems, accelerating technology discovery, and nudging behavioral change.
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1752942394956.pdf
Jul 20, 06:08 AM
Safe and just Earth system boundaries
The study defines safe and just Earth system boundaries for various domains like climate, biosphere, water, and nutrients. It finds that seven of eight globally quantified safe and just ESBs are already exceeded, calling for a transformative change across sectors to ensure human well-being and Earth system stability.
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s41586-023-06083-8.pdf
Jul 14, 05:11 PM
Global projections of future urban land expansion under shared socioeconomic pathways
Global urban land is projected to expand rapidly until the 2040s, primarily on current croplands, leading to a 1-4% decline in global crop production. This translates to an annual food supply loss equivalent to the needs of 122-1389 million people, highlighting the importance of managing urban development for food security.
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s41467-020-14386-x.pdf
Jul 14, 10:40 AM
Global land use changes are four times greater than previously estimated
The study reveals that global land use change has affected nearly a third of the Earth's land surface (32%) from 1960 to 2019, significantly higher than earlier estimates. This extent of change, equivalent to twice the size of Germany annually, reveals geographically diverging trends, with forest gain in the Global North and deforestation alongside agricultural expansion in the Global South, patterns linked to global trade and other drivers.
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s41467-021-22702-2.pdf
Jul 14, 10:40 AM
Version 4 of the CRU TS monthly high-resolution gridded multivariate climate dataset
This paper describes the creation of version 4 of the Climatic Research Unit gridded Time Series (CRU TS) dataset, a global land surface climate dataset on a 0.5-degree grid, spanning 1901-2018 and updated annually. Key improvements include increased station observations, a new interpolation method using angular-distance weighting, and improved traceability through enhanced metadata.
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s41597-020-0453-3.pdf
Jul 14, 10:40 AM
The Global Methane Budget 2000-2017
Global methane emissions for 2008-2017 were estimated at 576 Tg CH4 yr⁻¹ by atmospheric inversions, with about 60% attributed to anthropogenic sources. Bottom-up approaches estimated higher emissions (737 Tg CH4 yr⁻¹), with a significant discrepancy attributed to uncertain natural emissions, especially from inland waters. The study highlights the need for improved mapping and process-based modeling of inland water emissions, better assessment of methane sinks, and enhanced partitioning of sources using top-down models.
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essd-12-1561-2020.pdf
Jul 14, 10:40 AM
Extreme mortality and reproductive failure of common murres resulting from the northeast Pacific marine heatwave of 2014-2016
A massive die-off of approximately 62,000 common murres occurred from 2015-2016, coinciding with the most powerful marine heatwave on record in the Northeast Pacific. The study estimates total mortality to be near one million birds, with the majority of deaths attributed to starvation and multiple reproductive failures observed across murre colonies.
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file.pdf
Jul 14, 10:40 AM
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