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Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change
Indicators of Global Climate Change 2024: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence
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Paper Summary
Conflicts of Interest
Identified Weaknesses
Rating Explanation
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Paper Summary
Paperzilla title
Earth's Fever Rising: Climate Indicators Point to Accelerated Warming, But the Jury's Still Out on Why
Key climate indicators show accelerated warming trends, with the Earth's energy imbalance increasing and greenhouse gas emissions remaining at historic highs. While the record-breaking temperature in 2024 was influenced by the El Niño event, the overall warming trend is a cause for concern, exceeding the previously estimated rate of human-induced change.
Possible Conflicts of Interest
None identified
Identified Weaknesses
Uncertainty Quantification
While the paper acknowledges uncertainties in several of its estimates, it doesn't thoroughly quantify or address their potential impact on the main conclusions. This is especially crucial for estimations related to emissions of short-lived climate pollutants and aerosol forcing, where uncertainties can be substantial.
Model Dependence
The paper relies heavily on climate models and reanalysis data for some of its assessments, especially for SLCFs and global precipitation. While models are important tools, there can be discrepancies between model outputs and real-world observations. The paper could benefit from stronger emphasis on observational validation of model-based findings.
Limited Causal Analysis
Some of the key indicators, like the Earth's energy imbalance and the rate of human-induced warming, have seen notable increases in recent years. However, the paper doesn't delve deeply into the specific causes of these changes. Further investigation into the underlying drivers of these changes could strengthen the analysis.
Rating Explanation
This paper provides a valuable update on essential climate indicators, utilizing established methodologies and relying on data from reputable sources. The analysis is largely sound, with the observed changes in key indicators like temperature and energy imbalance being particularly noteworthy. However, the paper could be improved by more thoroughly addressing uncertainties, strengthening the validation of model-based findings, and providing deeper causal analysis of the observed changes. The limitations do not severely detract from the overall value of the paper.
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File Information
Original Title:
Indicators of Global Climate Change 2024: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence
File Name:
essd-17-2641-2025.pdf
[download]
File Size:
7.43 MB
Uploaded:
July 22, 2025 at 01:12 PM
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