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General Economics, Econometrics and Finance

Broad economic and financial research spanning multiple subfields, including interdisciplinary work on economic development, financial systems, monetary economics, and integrated economic-financial modeling

4 papers in this specialization

Paperzilla Papers in General Economics, Econometrics and Finance

Resilience Reconsidered: The Need for Modeling Resilience in Food Distribution and Trade Relations in Post Nuclear War Recovery

This paper reviews the literature on nuclear war, famine, and trade to highlight the importance of food distribution networks in post-nuclear scenarios. It argues that nuclear war modeling should prioritize medium-sized exchanges, incorporate lessons from past famines, and employ complex systems models for a comprehensive understanding of trade dynamics post-catastrophe. The authors recommend further research into trade networks, resilient foods, and governance systems to prepare for this unprecedented challenge.

Bartik Instruments: What, When, Why, and How

This paper demonstrates that the Bartik instrument, formed by interacting local industry shares and national industry growth rates, relies on the exogeneity of industry shares. It shows that the Bartik estimator is numerically equivalent to a GMM estimator with industry shares as instruments. The authors also provide tools to analyze the variation driving Bartik estimates and discuss how to assess the plausibility of the underlying research design.

Estimating and projecting air passenger traffic during the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak and its socio-economic impact

This study forecasts a decline in global air passenger traffic and related revenue due to the COVID-19 pandemic and resulting travel bans. The authors estimate potential losses to global GDP ranging from 0.34% to 1.67% and job losses up to 30 million for 2020 under various scenarios. The analysis also shows regional differences in impact, with European air travel and economy being hit harder compared to other regions.

ЦЕЛЕНАСОЧЕНАТА ИКОНОМИКА: РЪКОВОДСТВО ЗА ПРОМЯНА НА КАПИТАЛИЗМА

The review summarizes Mazzucato's argument for a "mission-oriented" approach to capitalism, emphasizing the need for government intervention, public-private partnerships, and a focus on societal goals rather than solely profit-driven motives. The review also highlights the book's critique of existing economic theories and policies, advocating for a shift away from short-term financial gains towards long-term sustainable growth and societal well-being.

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Jul 14, 06:53 AM