Resilience Reconsidered: The Need for Modeling Resilience in Food Distribution and Trade Relations in Post Nuclear War Recovery

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Paper Summary

Paperzilla title

Nuclear War Trade: How to Feed a Post-Apocalyptic World?

This paper reviews the literature on nuclear war, famine, and trade to highlight the importance of food distribution networks in post-nuclear scenarios. It argues that nuclear war modeling should prioritize medium-sized exchanges, incorporate lessons from past famines, and employ complex systems models for a comprehensive understanding of trade dynamics post-catastrophe. The authors recommend further research into trade networks, resilient foods, and governance systems to prepare for this unprecedented challenge.

Possible Conflicts of Interest

None identified

Identified Weaknesses

Uncertainties of nuclear winter modeling

Many of the underlying studies modeling climatic impacts have substantial limitations and disagreements.

Simplified models

Many cascading effects and consequences are not adequately captured in the models.

Lack of data

A number of the claims are speculative given the lack of data in this space.

Rating Explanation

The paper presents a novel and necessary analysis of a topic neglected in the nuclear war resilience and recovery literature. It also combines interdisciplinary knowledge in its review and discussion that could be applied in the field of global catastrophic risk resilience.

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