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A historical turning point? Early evidence on how the Russia-Ukraine war changes public support for clean energy policies
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Paper Summary
Conflicts of Interest
Identified Weaknesses
Rating Explanation
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Paper Summary
Paperzilla title
Swiss Voters Say "Ja!" to Clean Energy After Russian Invasion (Mostly)
Following the Russia-Ukraine war, Swiss voters demonstrated strong support for clean energy policies, including phasing out fossil fuels and accelerating renewable energy development. Support for natural gas power plants remained mixed, while policies related to fossil fuel heating bans, combustion engine car sales bans, and financial regulations to discourage fossil fuel investments saw increased support, particularly among left-leaning voters.
Possible Conflicts of Interest
None identified
Identified Weaknesses
Survey Method Limitations
The survey method, while offering early insights, has limitations. Relying on self-reported changes in support levels may lead to overestimation, and it doesn't precisely quantify the magnitude of shifts. Additionally, surveying policies individually, while providing a detailed picture, doesn't fully capture the interplay between various policy instruments within a broader climate and energy policy mix, which can influence overall public acceptance.
Sample Representativeness
The sample, while considered reliable in previous studies, might not perfectly represent the entire Swiss population. Opt-in samples can be subject to self-selection bias, potentially skewing the results and limiting the generalizability of the findings to the broader Swiss public.
Predictive Validity for Real-World Decisions
The study primarily focuses on expressed opinions and doesn't directly measure actual voting behavior or policy support in real-world scenarios. A gap might exist between stated preferences and how people would vote in an actual referendum or election, particularly if new information or political campaigns emerge before the vote.
Rating Explanation
This study provides valuable early insights into the shift in public opinion regarding energy policies following the Russia-Ukraine war. While the survey methodology has some limitations (self-reported changes, potential sample bias), the findings offer a relevant perspective on evolving public preferences. The high levels of support observed across the political spectrum (except for the populist party on some issues) suggest a potential window of opportunity for policymakers to advance clean energy policies. The lack of significant differences between treatment and control groups indicates relatively stable attitudes towards these issues.
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File Information
Original Title:
A historical turning point? Early evidence on how the Russia-Ukraine war changes public support for clean energy policies
File Name:
1-s2.0-S2214629622002614-main.pdf
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File Size:
1.86 MB
Uploaded:
July 14, 2025 at 11:13 AM
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